16 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1526
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamczyk
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Adamczyk stays under total as favourite 67% (45)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.