16 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1534
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tuma
MW
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1527
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.