16 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1537
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cermak
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1534
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H62-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.