16 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1641
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1648
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Revay🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (258)
Fair odds · Revay
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H54-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.