16 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1464
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vinter
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1594
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Sobisek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (97)
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+130
H2H6-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)