16 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1668
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prikasky
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1595
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.