16 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamczyk
PD
🇨🇿Petr Danko
ELO 1517
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Danko covers set handicap as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.