16 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Trinta
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1445
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Pleskot covers set handicap as underdog 67% (82)
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+119
H2H24-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-12)