16 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Trinta
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1487
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H31-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.