16 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1537
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cermak
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1464
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Sobisek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (97)
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H15-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.