16 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1694
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Szotkowski
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1657
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Polasek🌟Szotkowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (104)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H22-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.