16 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamczyk
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinak
ELO 1549
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Martinak covers set handicap as underdog 76% (25)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.