16 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1487
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nohejl
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1570
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Nohejl stays under total as favourite 62% (37)
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+83
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.