16 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1648
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Szotkowski
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1694
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Revay🌟Revay covers set handicap as underdog 72% (108)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H19-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.