16 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1668
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Prikasky
JS
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1610
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Prikasky stays under total as favourite 63% (62)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.