16 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1657
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Polasek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1641
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (258)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H70-66
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.