16 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FL
🇨🇿Frantisek Laburda
ELO 1502
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1534
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (54)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.