16 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cabak
PD
🇨🇿Petr Danko
ELO 1517
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Danko covers set handicap as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Cabak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.