16 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1610
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Simecek
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1508
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kratochvil🌟Simecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (23)
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+102
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)