16 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇨🇿Adam Svoboda
ELO 1491
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Svoboda
LS
🇨🇿Libor Stacho
ELO 1488
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Svoboda goes over total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.