16 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1537
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Parhomenko
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1502
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stolfa🌟Stolfa covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.