16 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1570
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nohejl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1445
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
🌟Pleskot covers set handicap as underdog 67% (82)
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)