16 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1534
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Byrtus
PD
🇨🇿Petr Danko
ELO 1517
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Danko🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (54)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.