15 Jul · 17:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kern
ELO 1529
0-3Final setsPagac won
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1485
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kern at 53%. The actual result was Zbynek Pagac 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lukas Kern favoured — closing 1.85
Total 76.5
53 points played
Set handicap
Lukas Kern −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Lukas Kern −1.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukas Kern is favoured to win, below means Zbynek Pagac.
▲ Lukas Kernpre 50% → final 99%
Zbynek Pagac ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsKern recovered from 43%66 points · 4 games