17 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Petrek
ELO 1551
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Martinak
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinak
ELO 1553
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Martinak stays under total as favourite 69% (16)
Fair odds · Martinak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~70 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.