17 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1618
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vinter
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1534
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Zuzanek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (107)
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+84
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.