17 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Petrek
ELO 1551
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skacelik
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1585
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 65% (46)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.