17 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1480
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Martinak
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinak
ELO 1553
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Martinak stays under total as favourite 69% (16)
Fair odds · Martinak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 43% · 2.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.