17 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1365
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Palmi
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1341
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Palmi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H16-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.