17 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1380
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Madle
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1340
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hejduk🌟Madle rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (65)
Fair odds · Madle
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H15-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.