17 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1340
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Potensky
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1364
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hejduk🌟Potensky stays under total as favourite 65% (43)
Fair odds · Potensky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H32-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.