18 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kucharcik
ELO 1507
FormWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kucharcik
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1382
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟1956 stays under total as underdog 66% (35)
Fair odds · Kucharcik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (3-1)