18 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1632
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dzida
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1709
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (273)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H25-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.