18 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1315
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1378
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 64% (99)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H14-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.