18 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1724
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jindrak
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1777
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Mares covers set handicap as underdog 67% (107)
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H20-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.