18 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1315
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Syroha
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1381
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Syroha stays under total as favourite 64% (50)
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H15-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.