19 Jul · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1439
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Novak
MN
🇨🇿Martin Novak
ELO 1568
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Novak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)