18 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kratochvil
ELO 1599
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Opanasiuk
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1709
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kratochvil🌟Kratochvil covers set handicap as underdog 65% (136)
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+110
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)