18 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VP
🇨🇿Vladimir Postelt
ELO 1592
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Postelt
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1588
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Vedmoch covers set handicap as underdog 64% (143)
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H15-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.