18 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kraninger
ELO 1528
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kraninger
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1475
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Bosak covers set handicap as underdog 65% (49)
Fair odds · Kraninger
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.