18 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1471
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Drabek
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1456
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as underdog 68% (37)
Fair odds · Drabek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.