18 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1471
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kucharcik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kucharcik
ELO 1507
FormWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kucharcik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.