18 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1475
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bajtek
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Bajtek
ELO 1491
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Bosak covers set handicap as underdog 65% (49)
Fair odds · Bajtek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.