18 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇨🇿Petr Osvald
ELO 1497
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Taichman
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Osvald🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (82)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H11-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.