18 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1709
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mares
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1724
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Opanasiuk🌟Mares rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (103)
Fair odds · Mares
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.