18 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1468
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Drabek
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1471
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Drabek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 30% · 3.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.