18 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1530
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Taichman
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1475
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bosak🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (82)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.21· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H4-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.