18 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1382
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Drabek
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1471
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟1956 stays under total as underdog 66% (35)
Fair odds · Drabek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+89
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)