18 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1378
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Grohsgott
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1315
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 64% (99)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H14-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.