18 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1498
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jasek
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1452
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Jasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H15-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.